This theme will relate to the impact of climate change on agriculture and forestry, and on the improvement of management to reduce GHG emissions and sequester carbon. The discussion on the impacts on agriculture and forestry will focus on both mean climate and inter-annual variability, and on different responses in different regions of the world. These different responses are critical to the vulnerability of agricultural food production systems. Different responses also mean that adapting to changing conditions will take very different routes in various parts of the world, depending not only on soil and climatic conditions, but also on the capacity to adapt as determined by the economic, social, and technological status of and development pathways within the affected region.
Climate change will, in general, affect agriculture negatively in developing counties, primarily because they are located in regions of the world where temperature is not limiting, but where the droughts, intense rainfall, and flooding associated with climate change will have severe negative impacts. The session will discuss the uncertainty of these climate change impacts not only on agricultural systems but also on livelihoods and social systems. The session will cover adaptation to climate change, and the extent to which this should be achieved by improving crop genetypes (e.g. through GMO crops) or by improving system resilience (e.g. by improving soil fertility). In some developing countries (e.g. Brazil and Indonesia) the main source of GHG emissions is deforestation caused by the expansion of agricultural frontiers. The need to assure that future Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry (LULUCF) regimes contribute to sustainable land and forest management is part of this session. Access to credits made by such projects and the importance of such credits for compliance will also be part of this session.
Chair: Dean Just Jensen, Aarhus University, Denmark
Rapporteur: Thomas Færgeman, CONCITO, Denmark
Speakers:
13.30-13.55: Dorte Verner
Senior Economist, The World Bank, Latin America and Caribbean Region, USA
Social implications of climate change in Latin America
13.55-14.15: Shivaji Pandey
Director of Plant Production and Protection Division, FAO
Improving adaptation and mitigation to climate change in agriculture in developing countries
14.15-14.30: Attah Peter Sola
Mustang Inc., Nigeria
Smalleholder and subsistence agriculture: The impact of climate change
14.30-14.45: Monica Fisher
Scientist & Moushumi Chaudhury Counsultant, Centre for International Forestry, Indonesia Research, Indonesia
Do Forests Promote Household Adaptation to Climate Variability and Climate Change? Evidence from Southern Malawi
14.45-15.00: David Anokye Asamoah
Masters in Desert Studies, Women International Coalition Organisation, Kwabina Yeboah Ent, Ghana
Women and Water for Development: A Practical Journey to Food Security and Poverty Reduction in Africa
15.00-15.15: Mogens Hovmøller
Senior researcher, Aarhus University, Denmark
Climate Change and Plant Disease
15.15-15.30: Posters and Discussion
Climate change is likely to worsen some of the existing pressures that agriculture exerts on the environment and on land and water resources. Agriculture is the worlds largest user of water, consuming about 80% of the global freshwater abstraction and resulting in the exploitation of many lakes and aquifers. Projections of drier conditions in many currently irrigated regions make these practices even less sustainable. Likewise, climate changes towards more extreme heat and rainfall events will most likely increase rates of nutrient losses from agricultural soils and increase soil degradation. Therefore, climate change needs to be included in a revision of current programmes for sustainable agricultural development. This session will discuss how intensive agricultural systems can be adapted to a warmer and more variable climate, while at the same time meeting current and future sustainability targets: delivering food, feed, and bioenergy while having low environmental impacts.
Chair: Head of Department Erik Steen Kristensen, Aarhus University, Denmark
Rapporteur: Thomas Færgeman, CONCITO, Denmark
Speakers:
16.00-16.30: Francesco Tubiello
Research Scientist, EU JRC, Ispra, Italy
Impacts and vulnerability of agricultural systems to climate change
16.30-16.45: Carl Åge Pedersen
Director, Danish Agricultural Advisory Service, Denmark
Climate Change Adaptation through Innovation
16.45-17.00: Kevin Eblen
Public Policy and Sustainability Lead, Monsanto
Adaption to climate change though crop varieties
17.00-17.15: Dr. Remy Manderscheid
Researcher, Institute of Biodiversity, Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute, Germany
Effect of free air carbon dioxide enrichment combined with summer drought on water relations and crop growth in a maize field
17.15-17.30: B.F. Schaap
Researcher, Plant Research International and Alterra Research Institute, the Netherlands
Adaptive capacity of arable farming in the northern region of the Netherlands: towards integrated action
17.30-17.45: Robert H. Beach
Senior Economist, RTI International, USA
Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on U.S. Water Resource Availability for Agricultural Production
17.45-18.00: Posters and Discussion
In this session, leading scientists and representatives from NGOs and the private agricultural and public development sectors will discuss how adaptation and mitigation in the agricultural sector will affect natural ecosystems and biodiversity. How can adaptation and mitigation in the agricultural sector take place without imposing additional negative pressure on natural ecosystems and on their biodiversity and bio-complexity? Potential feedback on biodiversity as an important pool of resources for agriculture, food production, and sustainable development will also be discussed.
Chair: Deputy Director General Kurt Nielsen, Aarhus University, Denmark
Rapporteur: Thomas Færgeman, CONCITO, Denmark
Speakers:
08.00-8.35: Erik Jeppesen
Research Professor, Aarhus University, Denmark
Response of Freshwater Ecosystems to Changes in Climate and Landuse
08.35-09.10: Chris Cocklin
Professor, Acting Deputy Vice-Chancellor, James Cook University, Australia
Systems at Peril: Climate Change, Agriculture and Biodiversity in Australia
09.10-09.40: Patrick Smith
Climate Change Specialist: Land Use and Forestry, USaid
The development imperative of linking climate change and sustainable land use: challenges, opportunities, and strategies
09.40-10.00: Christian Ege
Chairman, Ecological Council, Denmark
Green tax reforms in an EU member state - synergy between legal and economic instruments to reduce emission of climate gasses
There are increasing concerns about the effects of biofuel and bioenergy production on food and feed prices and on environmental impacts, including GHG emissions. The Renewable Energy and Climate Change Package presented by the European Commission (January 2008) emphasises that these concerns are legitimate and need to be addressed, and that minimum standards for biofuel production are being set out in the proposals. The consequences of the Ethanol Programme on food prices as well as an increase of urban air pollution are among the challenges that Brazil faces as a developing country focusing on the economic viability of ethanol. In a broader context, it is important to raise the issue of which energy crops and which conversion technologies can best meet the challenges of providing sufficient energy with low cost and high GHG reductions, while preserving soil and water resources and maintaining food and feed production. The session will address the reconciliation of these often conflicting goals. This is a major challenge, and many more studies - and technologies - are needed.
Chair: Head of Department Morten Dam Rasmussen, Aarhus University, Denmark
Rapporteur: Thomas Færgeman, CONCITO, Denmark
Speakers:
10.30-11.00: Stephen P. Long
Professor, Energy Biosciences Institute, University of Illinois, USA
Selecting the right crops for biofuels and bioenergy
11.00-11.15: Pål Börjessen
Associate Professor, Environmental and Energy Systems Studies, Lund University, Sweden
Good or bad biofuels from a greenhouse gas perspective What determines this?
11.45-12.00: Siri Pugesgaard, Tommy Dalgaard and Uffe Jørgensen
PhD-students, Aarhus University, Denmark
Bioenergy production in organic farming - environmental gains and risks
12.00-12.15: Carl Chr. Hoffmann
Senior Researcher, Aarhus University, Denmark
Establishment of emission factors for cultivated organic soils in Denmark
12.15-12.30: Posters and Discussion
Much of the agricultural GHG emissions can be avoided through adoption of better management practices, and some of the expansion of agriculture into forested land could be avoided through better management of the already-cleared land. Improving GHG management in agriculture and forestry requires proper incentives, and these incentives need to be linked to current agricultural, environmental, and trade policies, many of which seem to have been counterproductive to reducing GHG emissions. There are also many outstanding methodological issues when it comes to quantifying GHG emissions from agriculture and forestry and implementing effective mitigation schemes, especially when it comes to mitigation of carbon losses from vegetation and soils. The session will discuss how agricultural systems may eventually be developed to deliver almost GHG-neutral food and feed production.
Chair: Professor Bent T. Christensen, Aarhus University, Denmark
Rapporteur: Thomas Færgeman, CONCITO, Denmark
Speakers:
14.00-14.25: Pete Smith
Professor, School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, United Kingdom
Global greenhouse gas mitigation potential in agriculture
14.25-14.45: Alexander Mueller
Assistant Director General, Food and Agriculture Organization, Italy
Agriculture and Climate Change Mitigation
14.45-15.00: Jan Dalsgaard Johannesen
Corporate Environmental Manager, Arla Foods, Denmark
Reducing GHG Emissions Experience from the Dairy Sector
15.00-15.15: Bruce Ball and Bob Rees
Senior soil scientists, SAC, Edinburgh, Scotland
Mitigation of nitrous oxide emissions from agricultural soils under intensive grazing
15.15-15.30: Lena Rodhe, Johnny Ascue and Åke Nordberg
Senior Research Manager, JTI Swedish Institute of Agricultural and Environmental Engineering, Sweden
Greenhouse gas emissions (CH4, N2O) from stored cattle slurry
15.30-15.45: Lars Ottosen
Postdoctoral Scholar, Aarhus University, Denmark
Microbiology and how to manage GHG emissions from livestock waste
15.45-16.00: Posters and Discussion